Friday night's NRL double-header delivered two results that tell very different stories about the 2026 season. The Canberra Raiders snapped their own four-game losing streak with a 26-22 win over Melbourne at GIO Stadium, condemning the Storm to a fifth consecutive defeat. In Darwin, the Panthers survived a spirited Dolphins comeback before Nathan Cleary slotted a field goal in the 85th minute to win 23-22.
Storm in Crisis After Fifth Straight Loss
Five losses in a row is almost unheard of for Melbourne. It has happened just three times in the club's history, and the last time it occurred during the regular season was over a decade ago. Craig Bellamy's side now sits 14th on the ladder with a 2-5 record, and the possibility of missing the finals for the first time since 2010 is becoming a real conversation.
The Raiders led for most of the match in Canberra, building a 14-point lead early in the second half before the Storm fought back to trail by four. Melbourne had chances in the final 10 minutes but could not convert, and the home side held on for a morale-boosting victory that lifts them to 3-4.
Cleary the Difference in Darwin
The Dolphins looked beaten early after conceding three tries in the opening 25 minutes to trail 18-0 at TIO Stadium. But Wayne Bennett's side produced a trademark second-half fightback, scoring 22 unanswered points to send the match to golden point at 22-all.
The Panthers had the last say. Cleary, who had been the best player on the field all night, calmly nailed the match-winning field goal in the 85th minute to keep Penrith on top of the ladder at 6-1. It was a timely reminder of why the Panthers remain the team to beat in 2026.
What This Means for Punters
The Storm's slide has reshaped the NRL premiership market. Melbourne opened the season among the top three in most futures markets and have drifted significantly. Punters who backed them early are watching value evaporate, while those looking for long-shot plays might consider whether this squad has enough quality to turn things around after the bye. Full Round 7 coverage is available at ABC Rugby League.
The Panthers at 6-1 are clear favourites to finish on top of the ladder, but the Sea Eagles have emerged as a genuine threat after thumping the Cowboys 38-6 in Townsville on Thursday to make it three wins in a row under interim coach Kieran Foran.